IPS654: Continuity and Change in the Politics of Contemporary Democracies

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23S | 21F | 20F | 19S | 18S

Week 1 : Course Introduction

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LeDuc, L., Niemi, R.G. and Norris, P. eds., 2014. Comparing democracies 4th. Sage.

Week 2-3: Semi-presidentialism

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  • On democracy

Sen, A. (1999) ‘Democracy as a Universal Value’, Journal of Democracy, 10(3), pp. 3–17. here

Przeworski, A. (2024) ‘Who Decides What Is Democratic?’, Journal of Democracy, 35(3), pp. 5–16. here

  • Semi-presidentialism in Taiwan

Wu, Yu-Shan. 2000. "The ROC's semi-presidentialism at work: unstable compromise, not cohabitation." Issues and Studies 36, no. 5: 1-40.

Wu, Y.S., 2005. Appointing the prime minister under incongruence: Taiwan in comparison with France and Russia. Taiwan journal of democracy, 1(1), pp.103-132. here

Wu, Y.S. 2007. Semi-presidentialism – easy to choose, difficult to operate: The case of Taiwan. In Elgie, R. and Moestrup, S., Semi-Presidentialism Outside Europe (pp. 213-230). Routledge.

Wu, C.L., 2009. Semi-presidentialism and divided government in Taiwan: Public perceptions of government performance. Issues and Studies, 45(4), p.1-34.

Wu, Y.S. and Tsai, J.H. 2011. Taiwan: democratic consolidation under president-parliamentarism. In Elgie, R., Moestrup, S. and Y.S. Wu. Semi-presidentialism and democracy, pp.174-191.

Shen, Y.C., 2014. Presidentialized semi-presidentialism in Taiwan: View of party politics and institutional norms. Journal of Power, Politics & Governance, 2(2), pp.157-167. here

Lin, J.W., 2016. Taiwan's Semi-Presidential System Was Easy to Establish but Is Difficult to Fix A Comparison between the Constitutional Reform Efforts of 1997 and 2015. Taiwan Journal of Democracy, 12(2). here

Lin, J.W., 2017. How are the powers of the president decided? Vote trading in the making of Taiwan’s semi-presidential constitution. International Political Science Review, 38(5), pp.659-672. here

Shen, Y.C., 2018. Institutional resilience of Taiwan’s semi-presidential system: the integration of the president and premier under party politics. Asian Journal of Political Science, 26(1), pp.53-64. here

Schafferer, C., 2022. Taiwan: The limited but beneficial role of semi-presidentialism. In Presidentialism and Democracy in East and Southeast Asia (pp. 105-127). Routledge.

Ho, Chih-yung and Li-hsien Sun. 2025. Cabinet Stability under Taiwan’s Semi-presidentialism: A Power-law Analysis. Taiwan Journal of Democracy, Volume 21, No. 1: 123-157 here

Week 4-5: Democracy for Realist

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Achen, C. H., & Bartels, L. M. (2017). Democracy for realists: Why elections do not produce responsive government (Vol. 4). Princeton University Press.

Shenkman, R. (2016). Political animals: How our stone-age brain gets in the way of smart politics. Basic Books. 謝克曼 (Shenkman, Rick) 民108[2019] 曾亞晴, 陳毅瀓, 林士堯譯 為何我們總是選錯人? : 人類政治行為的迷思 新北市 : 左岸文化, 遠足文化 companion

Lupia, A., and McCubbins, M.D., 1998. The democratic dilemma: Can citizens learn what they need to know?. Cambridge University Press. | PS: Political Science & Politics, 52(4): Symposium: Can Citizens Learn What They Need to Know? Reflections on The Democratic Dilemma

Gilley, B., 2009. Is democracy possible?. Journal of democracy, 20(1), pp.113-127. here

Hibbing, J. R., & Theiss-Morse, E. (2001). Process preferences and American politics: What the people want government to be. American Political Science Review, 95, 145–153. here

Hibbing, J.R. and Theiss-Morse, E., 2002. Stealth democracy: Americans' beliefs about how government should work. Cambridge University Press.

  • Debates on shark attack and democracy

Critical Review 30(1-2), Democracy for Realists

Perspectives on Politics 15, no. 1 (2017): Review Symposium: Elections and Responsive Government

Fowler, Anthony and Andrew B. Hall. 2018. Do Shark Attacks Influence Presidential Elections? Reassessing a Prominent Finding on Voter Competence. Journal of Politics 80(4):1423-1437.

Achen, C. H., & Bartels, L. M. (2018). Statistics as If Politics Mattered: A Reply to Fowler and Hall. The Journal of Politics, 80(4), 1438-1453.

Fowler, Anthony and Andrew B. Hall. 2018. Politics as if Evidence Mattered: A Reply to Achen and Bartels

Healy, A.J., Malhotra, N. and Mo, C.H., 2010. Irrelevant events affect voters' evaluations of government performance. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 107(29), pp.12804-12809.

Fowler, A. and Montagnes, B.P., 2015. College football, elections, and false-positive results in observational research. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 112(45), pp.13800-13804.

Healy, A., Malhotra, N. and Mo, C.H., 2015. Determining false-positives requires considering the totality of evidence. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 112(48), pp.E6591-E6591.

Fowler, A. and Montagnes, B.P., 2015. Reply to Healy et al.: Value of ex ante predictions and independent tests for assessing false-positive results. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 112(48), pp.E6592-E6592.

Busby, E.C., Druckman, J.N. and Fredendall, A., 2017. The political relevance of irrelevant events. The Journal of Politics, 79(1), pp.346-350.

Busby, E.C. and Druckman, J.N., 2018. Football and Public Opinion: A Partial Replication and Extension. Journal of Experimental Political Science, 5(1), pp.4-10.

Graham, M.H., Huber, G.A., Malhotra, N. and Mo, C.H., 2020. Irrelevant Events and Voting Behavior: Replications Using Principles from Open Science. The Journal of Politics, 85(1), pp.296-303.

Rapeli, L. and Söderlund, P., 2022. Does sports success increase government support? Voter (ir) rationality in a multiparty context. Research & Politics, 9(3), .

Müller, S. and Kneafsey, L., 2023. Evidence for the irrelevance of irrelevant events. Political Science Research and Methods, 11(2), pp.311-327.

Fowler, A. and Montagnes, B.P., 2023. Distinguishing between false positives and genuine results: The case of irrelevant events and elections. The Journal of Politics, 85(1), pp.304-309.

Graham, M.H., Huber, G.A., Malhotra, N. and Mo, C.H., 2023. How should we think about replicating observational studies? A reply to Fowler and Montagnes. The Journal of Politics, 85(1), pp.310-313.

Alfano, V. and Ercolano, S., 2024. Unveiling the Real Madrid effect: the impact of football-related acrimony on elections. Economia Politica, 41(1), pp.203-227. here

Week 6-7: Democratic backsliding

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Levitsky, S., & Ziblatt, D. (2018). How democracies die. Broadway Books. 史蒂文.李維茲基(Steven Levitsky), 丹尼爾.齊布拉特(Daniel Ziblatt)著. 李建興譯. 民108[2019]. 民主國家如何死亡 : 歷史所揭示的我們的未來 臺北市 : 時報文化, Table 1 | Table 2 | Perspectives of Politics 16(4), Review Symposium

Levitsky, S. and Ziblatt, D., 2024. Tyranny of the minority: Why American democracy reached the breaking point. Random House.

Levitsky, S. and Ziblatt, D. (2025) ‘When Should the Majority Rule?’, Journal of Democracy, 36(1), pp. 5–20. here | talk

Wunsch, N., 2025. Democratic commitment: Why citizens tolerate democratic backsliding. Oxford University Press. here

  • Debates on democratic backsliding

Bermeo, N. (2016) ‘On Democratic Backsliding’, Journal of Democracy, 27(1), pp. 5–19. here

Levitsky, S. & Way, L.A. (2010) ‘Why Democracy Needs a Level Playing Field’, Journal of Democracy, 21(1), pp. 57–68.

Haggard, S. and Kaufman, R. (2021) ‘The Anatomy of Democratic Backsliding’, Journal of Democracy, 32(4), pp. 27–41. here

Brownlee, J. and Miao, K., 2022. Why democracies survive. Journal of democracy, 33(4), pp.133-149. here

Carothers, T. and Hartnett, B. (2024) ‘Misunderstanding Democratic Backsliding’, Journal of Democracy, 35(3), pp. 24–37. here

Fukuyama, F., Dann, C. and Magaloni, B. (2025) ‘Delivering for Democracy: Why Results Matter’, Journal of Democracy, 36(2), pp. 5–19. here

Carothers, T. and Hartnett, B. (2025) ‘Beyond Performance: Why Leaders Still Matter’, Journal of Democracy, 36(2), pp. 20–22.

Sosa-Villagarcia, P., Incio, J. and Arce, M. (2025) ‘The Rise of Legislative Authoritarianism’, Journal of Democracy, 36(2), pp. 106–117.

Week 11: Polarization

Svolik, M.W. (2019) ‘Polarization versus Democracy’, Journal of Democracy, 30(3), pp. 20–32. here

McCoy, J. and Somer, M., 2021. Overcoming polarization. Journal of Democracy, 32(1), pp.6-21. here

Berman, S. and Kundnani, H., 2021. The cost of convergence. Journal of Democracy, 32(1), pp.22-36. here

Bértoa, F.C. and Rama, J., 2021. The antiestablishment challenge. Journal of Democracy, 32(1), pp.37-51. here

Pappas, T.S. (2019) ‘Populists in Power’, Journal of Democracy, 30(2), pp. 70–84

Kleinfeld, R. (2021) ‘The Rise of Political Violence in the United States’, Journal of Democracy, 32(2), pp. 160–176.

Somer, M. and McCoy, J. (2021) ‘Mainstream Parties in Crisis: Overcoming Polarization’, Journal of Democracy, 32(1), pp. 36–50.

Zulueta-Fülscher, K. (2023) ‘How One Small Change to the Way We Vote Could Do a World of Good’, Journal of Democracy, 34(4), pp. 5–13.

  • Affective polarization

Iyengar, Shanto, Gaurav Sood, and Yphtach Lelkes. 2012. Affect, Not Ideology: A Social Identity Perspective on Polarization. Public Opinion Quarterly 76(3): 405–31.

Iyengar, S. and Westwood, S.J. (2015) ‘Fear and Loathing across Party Lines: New Evidence on Group Polarization’, American Journal of Political Science, 59(3), pp. 690–707.

Reiljan, A., Garzia, D., Ferreira da Silva, F., and Trechsel, A.H. (2024) ‘Patterns of Affective Polarization toward Parties and Leaders across the Democratic World’, American Political Science Review, 118(2), pp. 654–670. here

Zheng, X. and Lu, Y. (2021) ‘News consumption and affective polarization in Taiwan: The mediating roles of like-minded discussion and relative hostile media perception’, The Social Science Journal, pp. 1–14. doi: 10.1080/03623319.2021.1933877.

Week 12: Youth, gender and ethnic minority politics

Jakli, L. (2024) ‘East‑Central Europe: The Young and the Far‑Right’, Journal of Democracy, 35(2), pp. 65–79. doi:10.1353/jod.2024.a922834. here

Chandra, K. (2024) ‘Majoritarianism Without Majorities’, Journal of Democracy, 35(4), pp.46–62. doi:10.1353/jod.2024.a937733. here

Velasco, K., Baral, S. & Tang, Y. (2024) ‘Is Democracy Bad for LGBT+ Rights?’, Journal of Democracy, 35(3), pp. 131–148. here

  • Youth

Fisher, D.R., 2012. Youth political participation: Bridging activism and electoral politics. Annual review of Sociology, 38(1), pp.119-137.

Stockemer, D. and Sundström, A., 2018. Age representation in parliaments: Can institutions pave the way for the young?. European Political Science Review, 10(3), pp.467-490.

  • Gender

Paxton, P., Hughes, M.M. and Barnes, T.D., 2020. Women, politics, and power: A global perspective. Rowman & Littlefield.

Barnes, T.D. and Holman, M.R., 2020. Gender quotas, women’s representation, and legislative diversity. The Journal of Politics, 82(4), pp.1271-1286. here

Kim, N.K., 2022. Women's Descriptive and Substantive Representation in East and Southeast Asia. In New Democracy and Autocratization in Asia (pp. 12-33). Routledge.

Joshi, D.K. and Echle, C., 2023. Substantive representation of women in Asian parliaments. Routledge.

Barnes, T.D. and O'Brien, D.Z., 2025. Gender and leadership in executive branch politics. Annual Review of Political Science, 28.

  • Indigenous representation

Templeman, K., 2018. When do electoral quotas advance indigenous representation?: Evidence from the Taiwanese legislature. Ethnopolitics, 17(5), pp.461-484. here

Pao, Cheng-hao and Daniel Davies, 2021. Indigenous political participation and indigenous voting behaviour in Taiwan. In Taiwan's Contemporary Indigenous Peoples (pp. 165-183). Routledge. here

DeHart, C. and Mamet, E., 2023. Do Reserved Seats Work? Evidence from Tribal Representatives in Maine. State Politics & Policy Quarterly, 23(3), pp.283-305.

Blasingame, E., Hansen, E.R. and Witmer, R.C., 2025. Are Descriptive Representatives More Successful Passing Group-Relevant Legislation? The Case of Native American State Legislators. Political Research Quarterly 78(1):308-322 here

Week 13: Contentious representative politics

Fish, M.S., 2006. Stronger legislatures, stronger democracies. Journal of democracy, 17(1), pp.5-20.

Melia, T.O., 2010. What Makes Legislatures Strong?. Journal of Democracy, 21(2), pp.166-170.

Sosa-Villagarcia, P., Incio, J. and Arce, M., 2025. The Rise of Legislative Authoritarianism. Journal of Democracy, 36(2), pp.106-117.

  • Political Incivility

Kettler, J.J., Fowler, L. and Witt, S.L., 2022. Is it us? Is it them? Or is it this place? Predicting civility in state legislatures. State Politics & Policy Quarterly, 22(1), pp.50-69.

Bøggild, T. and Jensen, C., forthcoming. When politicians behave badly: Political, democratic, and social consequences of political incivility. American Journal of Political Science.

  • Disruption

  • Legislative brawl

Gandrud, Christopher. 2016. Two Sword Lengths Apart: Credible Commitment Problems and Physical Violence in Democratic National Legislatures. Journal of Peace Research 53: 130–145. here

Batto, N.F. and Beaulieu, E., 2020. Partisan conflict and citizens’ democratic attitudes: How partisanship shapes reactions to legislative brawls. The Journal of Politics, 82(1), pp.315-328. here

Schmoll, M. and Ting, W.L., 2023. Explaining Physical Violence in Parliaments. Journal of Conflict Resolution, 67(2-3), pp.375-401. data

Week 14: Asian model for (political) development

  • Asian views on demoracy

Diamond, L. and Plattner, M.F. eds., 2008. How people view democracy. JHU Press.

Chu, Y.H., Diamond, L., Nathan, A.J. and Shin, D.C. eds., 2008. How East Asians view democracy. Columbia University Press.

Kim, S., 2014. Confucian democracy in East Asia: Theory and practice. Cambridge University Press.

Shin, D.C. and Kim, H.J., 2018. How global citizenries think about democracy: An evaluation and synthesis of recent public opinion research. Japanese Journal of Political Science, 19(2), pp.222-249.

Fossati, D. and i Coma, F.M., 2023. The Meaning of Democracy in Southeast Asia: Liberalism, Egalitarianism and Participation. Cambridge University Press.

  • Country model

Huntington, S.P., 1965. Political development and political decay. World politics, 17(3), pp.386-430.

Hagopian, F., 2000. Political development, revisited. Comparative political studies, 33(6-7), pp.880-911.

Lange, M.K., 2004. British colonial legacies and political development. World development, 32(6), pp.905-922.

Yang, K., & Ortmann, S. (2018). From Sweden to Singapore: The relevance of foreign models for China’s rise. China Quarterly, 236, 946–967.

Pan, Hsin-Hsin. 2020. "Is the US the Only Role Model in Town? - Empirical Evidence from the Asian Barometer Survey." Journal of Asian and African Studies 55(5): 733-749.

Ortmann, S. and Thompson, M.R. eds., 2020. China's' Singapore Model'and Authoritarian Learning. Routledge.

Fosu, A.K. ed., 2013. Achieving development success: Strategies and lessons from the developing world. Oxford University Press. e-copy available through the library

Willis, K., 2011. Theories and practices of development. routledge.

Springborg, R. ed., 2009. Development models in Muslim contexts: Chinese,'Islamic'and neo-liberal alternatives. Edinburgh University Press.

Week 15: Prospects of democracy in the age of AI

Müller, J.W., 2021. Democracy rules. Farrar, Straus and Giroux.

Diamond, L., 2020. Ill winds: Saving democracy from Russian rage, Chinese ambition, and American complacency. Penguin.

Dobson, W.J., Masoud, T. and Walker, C. eds., 2023. Defending democracy in an age of sharp power. JHU Press.

Diamond, L. and Plattner, M.F. eds., 2012. Liberation technology: Social media and the struggle for democracy. JHU Press.

Johnson, S. and Acemoglu, D., 2023. Power and Progress: Our Thousand-Year Struggle Over Technology and Prosperity. Hachette UK.

Allen, D. and Weyl, E.G. (2024) ‘The Real Dangers of Generative AI’, Journal of Democracy, 35(1), pp. 5–18.

Bengio, Y. (2023) ‘AI and Catastrophic Risk’, Journal of Democracy, 34(4), pp. 5–17.

Kreps, S. and Kriner, D. (2023) ‘How AI Threatens Democracy’, Journal of Democracy, 34(4), pp. 18–30.

Ovadya, A. (2023) ‘Reimagining Democracy for AI’, Journal of Democracy, 34(4), pp. 31–43.

Steven David Pickering, Martin Ejnar Hansen, Yosuke Sunahara, Democracy by algorithm? Public attitudes towards AI in parliamentary decision-making in the UK and Japan, Parliamentary Affairs, 2025;, gsaf050, https://doi.org/10.1093/pa/gsaf050

Misc

  • The Political Roots of Prosperity and Poverty

Acemoglu, D. and Robinson, J.A., 2012. Why nations fail: The origins of power, prosperity, and poverty. Currency. Crown Business 阿西莫格鲁 (Acemoglu, Daron) 国家为什么会失败 / 德隆·阿西莫格鲁(Daron Acemoglu),詹姆斯·A. 罗宾逊(James A. Robinson)著 ; 李增刚译 出版項 长沙 : 湖南科学技术出版社, 2015 Ch 2&3 webpage

Przeworski, A., Alvarez, R.M., Alvarez, M.E., Cheibub, J.A., Limongi, F. and Neto, F.P.L., 2000. Democracy and development: Political institutions and well-being in the world, 1950-1990 (No. 3). Cambridge University Press.

Acemoglu, D., Naidu, S., Restrepo, P. and Robinson, J.A., 2019. Democracy does cause growth. Journal of political economy, 127(1), pp.47-100.

Colagrossi, M., Rossignoli, D. and Maggioni, M.A., 2020. Does democracy cause growth? A meta-analysis (of 2000 regressions). European journal of political economy, 61, p.101824.

  • Inequality

Fukuyama, F., Diamond, L. and Plattner, M.F. eds., 2012. Poverty, inequality, and democracy. JHU Press.

  • States, Societies, and Democracy

Acemoglu, D. and Robinson, J.A., 2019. The Narrow Corridor: States, Societies, and the Fate of Liberty. Penguin UK.

Przeworski, A., 1991. Democracy and the market: Political and economic reforms in Eastern Europe and Latin America. Cambridge university press.

Sen, A. K. (1999). Development as Freedom. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

Rodrik, D. (2007). One Economic, Many Recipes: Globalization, Institutions, and Economic Growth. New Jersey: Princeton University Press.

  • What is Populism?

Müller, J.W., 2017. What is populism?. Penguin UK.

Norris, P. and Inglehart, R., 2019. Cultural backlash: Trump, Brexit, and authoritarian populism. Cambridge University Press.

Galston, W.A. (2018) ‘The Populist Challenge to Liberal Democracy’, Journal of Democracy, 29(2), pp. 5–19

Berman, S. and Snegovaya, M. (2019) ‘Populism and the Decline of Social Democracy’, Journal of Democracy, 30(3), pp. 5–19.

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